SURXONDARYO VILOYATIDA AHOLI REAL DAROMADLARI VA HUDUDIY IQTISODIY O‘SISH O‘RTASIDAGI BOG‘LIQLIKNING EKONOMETRIK TAHLILI

Mualliflar

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23055004

Annotatsiya

Ushbu maqolada Surxondaryo viloyatida aholi real daromadlari va hududiy iqtisodiy o‘sish o‘rtasidagi bog‘liqlik ekonometrik jihatdan baholangan. Tadqiqot O‘zbekistonning 14 ta hududi bo‘yicha 2011–2025-yillarga oid 210 ta hudud-yil kuzatuvidan iborat panel ma’lumotlar asosida amalga oshirilgan. Empirik tahlilda hududiy va yilga xos omillarni nazorat qiluvchi ikki tomonlama sobit effektlar (two-way fixed effects) modeli hamda Surxondaryo viloyatiga xos farqni aniqlash uchun o‘zaro ta’sir o‘zgaruvchisidan foydalanilgan. Natijalar hududiy iqtisodiy o‘sish bilan aholi real ixtiyoriy daromadlari o‘sishi o‘rtasida musbat statistik bog‘lanish mavjudligini hamda asosiy modelda ushbu bog‘lanish Surxondaryo viloyatida boshqa hududlarga nisbatan kuchliroq ekanligini ko‘rsatgan. Robustlik tekshiruvlari asosiy natijaning 2025-yil kuzatuvlari chiqarib tashlanganda saqlanishini, biroq kechiktirilgan modelda Surxondaryoga xos farqning statistik ahamiyati barqaror emasligini ko‘rsatgan. Olingan natijalar hududiy iqtisodiy o‘sishni aholi real daromadlari bilan birgalikda baholash zarurligini asoslaydi.

Kalit soʻzlar

Real daromadlar, yalpi hududiy mahsulot, iqtisodiy o‘sish, aholi farovonligi, Surxondaryo viloyati, panel ma’lumotlar, sobit effektlar modeli, ekonometrik tahlil.

Foydalanilgan adabiyotlar roʻyxati

Dol ar D., Kraay A. Growth Is Good for the Poor / Journal of Economic Growth. – 2002. – Vol. 7, No. 3. – P. 195–225. DOI: 10.1023/A:1020139631000.

Dol ar D., Kleineberg T., Kraay A. Growth Stil Is Good for the Poor / European Economic Review–. 2016. – Vol. 81. – P. 68–85. DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.05.008.

Raval ion M. Growth, Inequality and Poverty: Looking Beyond Averages. (2001). World Development, 29(11), 1803–1815. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(01)00072-9

Bigsten, A., & Levin, J. (2004). Growth, Income Distribution, and Poverty: A Review / Growth, Inequality, and Poverty: Prospects for roP-Poor Economic Development / Eds. A. Shor ocks, R. van der Hoeven. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/0199268657.003.0012

OECD. OECD Regions and Cities at a Glance 2018.– Paris: OECD Publishing, 2018. – 168 p. DOI: 10.1787/reg_cit_glance-2018-en.

OECD. OECD Regions and Cities at a Glance 2024.– Paris: OECD Publishing, 2024. – 140 p. DOI: 10.1787/f42db3bf-en.

OECD. Workers, Households, Regions: Geographic Disparities in Labour Market Outcomes and theD istribution of Income / OECD Employment Outlook 2026. – Paris: OECD Publishing, 2026.

World Bank. Uzbekistan Country Economic Memorandum: Fostering Private Secto-rLed Growth and Global Integration.– Washington, DC: World Bank, 2025.

World Bank. Uzbekistan – Listening to the Citizens of Uzbekistan Survey 2018–2025 (L2CU). Reference ID: UZB_2018-2025_L2CU_v03_M. – Washington, DC: World Bank.

Zubarevich, N. V., & Safronov, S. G. (2024). Inter egional Inequality in Russia and Post-Soviet Countries in the 21st Century / Regional Research of Russia.– 2024. 10.1134/S2079970524600537. https://doi.org/10.1134/S2079970524600537

Karimova, Sh. Z. (2026). Theoretical Foundations for Assessing the Level of Socio-Economic Stratification by Regions / Scientific Electronic Journal “Labor Economics and Human Capital”. 10.55439/lehc/vol5iss1/a246. https://doi.org/10.55439/lehc/vol5iss1/a246

Mul abayev B.B. Scientific and Theoretical Approaches to the Assessment of the Socia-lEconomic Development of the Regions of Uzbekistan / Marketing Journal. – 2025. – No. 6. DOI: 10.67668/mj/2025iss6/394 .

Sat ikulova G. Features of Dif erentiation of Income of the Population of Uzbekistan / Web of Scientist: International Scietinfic Research Journal. – 2024. – Vol. 5, No. 5.

United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). Surkhandarya Region: New Opportunities and Prospects.– UNDP Uzbekistan, 2019.

United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). Expanding the Integrated Development of Rural Areas in Surkhandarya, Kashkadary and Samarkand Regions. – UNDP Uzbekistan, 2024.

O‘zbekiston Respublikasi Mil iy statistika qo‘mitasi. Aholi jon boshiga ixtiyoridagi real umumiy daromadlarning o‘sish sur’at lari (hududlar bo‘yicha) [Real growth rates of disposable total income per capita by region]. – SIAT, 2011–2025-yil ar ma’lumotlari.

O‘zbekiston Respublikasi Mil iy statistika qo‘mitasi. Yalpi ichki (hududiy) mahsulotning o‘sish sur’atlari (yil ik) [Growth r ates of gross domestic (regional) product (annual)]. – SIAT, 2011–2025-yil ar ma’lumotlari.

Cameron, A. C. (2015). Mil er D.L. A Practitioner’s Guide to Cluste-rRobust Inference / Journal of Human Resources.– 2015.

DOI: 10.3368/jhr.50.2.317.

MacKinnon, J. G., & Webb, M. D. (2018). The Wild Bootstrap for Few (Treated) Clusters /T he Econometrics Journal. 10.1111/ectj.12107. https://doi.org/10.1111/ectj.12107

Yuklab olishlar

Nashr etilgan

2026-09-16

Iqtibos keltirish

Tursunov, F. B. o‘g‘li. (2026). SURXONDARYO VILOYATIDA AHOLI REAL DAROMADLARI VA HUDUDIY IQTISODIY O‘SISH O‘RTASIDAGI BOG‘LIQLIKNING EKONOMETRIK TAHLILI. O’zbekiston sug’urta Bozori, 3(6), 107–113. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23055004

DOI

Sahifalar

107-113

Iqtibos

Google Scholarda ochish
Son 3 № 6 (2026): O‘zbekiston sug‘urta bozori (sentyabr–oktyabr) — I-qism